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Napredak vs Lok. Plovdiv

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Itu C.

AI Match Summary

Lok. Plovdiv in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lok. Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Napredak
15%
Draws
49%
Lok. Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lok. Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Napredak haven't matched Lok. Plovdiv's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Napredak Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napredak Lok. Plovdiv
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.81 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Napredak vs Lok. Plovdiv
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napredak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lok. Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Itu C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napredak 31 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napredak Lok. Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napredak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Plovdiv has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Lok. Plovdiv registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Napredak scored in 59% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Napredak VS Lok. Plovdiv
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Napredak

(Home)
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Napredak
1 : 2
Vrsac
11 Sept
Spartak Subotica
1 : 0
Napredak
05 Sept
Napredak
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Ub
30 Aug
Javor
3 : 0
Napredak
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Lok. Plovdiv

(Away)
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1
Arda
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