Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naprijed Hreljin vs Jadran Porec

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jadran Porec in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jadran Porec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Naprijed Hreljin
15%
Draws
0%
Jadran Porec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naprijed Hreljin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Naprijed Hreljin have won more games recently than Jadran Porec.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jadran Porec here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Naprijed Hreljin Clean Sheet 20%
Jadran Porec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naprijed Hreljin Jadran Porec
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 5
Draws 5 1
Losses 18 26
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 3. HNL West
Jadran Porec vs Naprijed Hreljin
6:0
Oct 16, 2021 3. HNL West
Naprijed Hreljin vs Jadran Porec
1:3
Mar 13, 2021 3. HNL West
Naprijed Hreljin vs Jadran Porec
0:2
Aug 29, 2020 3. HNL West
Jadran Porec vs Naprijed Hreljin
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naprijed Hreljin 36 / 100
Jadran Porec 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naprijed Hreljin Jadran Porec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jadran Porec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jadran Porec let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Away concern: Jadran Porec has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Naprijed Hreljin's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jadran Porec
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Naprijed Hreljin

(Home)
28 May
Cres
7 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
21 May
Naprijed Hreljin
1 : 4
NK Pomorac
14 May
Naprijed Hreljin
0 : 1
Pazinka
07 May
Buje
2 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
30 Apr
Naprijed Hreljin
2 : 1
Vinodol
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Jadran Porec

(Away)
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Solin
6 : 0
Jadran Porec
17 May
Grobnican
2 : 0
Jadran Porec
10 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Trnje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)