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Naprijed Hreljin vs Vinodol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naprijed Hreljin in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naprijed Hreljin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Naprijed Hreljin
15%
Draws
59%
Vinodol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vinodol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naprijed Hreljin lately — more wins on the board than Vinodol.
  • Vinodol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. HNL West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Naprijed Hreljin have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Naprijed Hreljin Clean Sheet 13%
Vinodol Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naprijed Hreljin Vinodol
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.03 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 3. HNL West
Naprijed Hreljin vs Vinodol
2:1
Oct 23, 2021 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Naprijed Hreljin
0:1
May 22, 2021 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Naprijed Hreljin
0:3
Nov 7, 2020 3. HNL West
Naprijed Hreljin vs Vinodol
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naprijed Hreljin 10 / 100
Vinodol 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naprijed Hreljin Vinodol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vinodol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vinodol conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Naprijed Hreljin found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Naprijed Hreljin stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naprijed Hreljin VS Vinodol
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naprijed Hreljin

(Home)
28 May
Cres
7 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
21 May
Naprijed Hreljin
1 : 4
NK Pomorac
14 May
Naprijed Hreljin
0 : 1
Pazinka
07 May
Buje
2 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
30 Apr
Naprijed Hreljin
2 : 1
Vinodol
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Vinodol

(Away)
29 Jul
Vinodol
0 : 1
Grobnican
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Vinodol
0 : 1
Crikvenica
14 May
Uljanik Pula
3 : 3
Vinodol
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)