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Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Piskorz A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Naprzod Jedrzejow and Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naprzod Jedrzejow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Naprzod Jedrzejow
39%
Draws
30%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Naprzod Jedrzejow have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow are scoring more at 1.88.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Naprzod Jedrzejow Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naprzod Jedrzejow Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naprzod Jedrzejow Compare

Top Goalscorer Piskorz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naprzod Jedrzejow 32 / 100
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naprzod Jedrzejow Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naprzod Jedrzejow's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Naprzod Jedrzejow stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naprzod Jedrzejow VS Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013