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NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers

Zambia Zambia

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between NAPSA Stars and Nchanga Rangers finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nchanga Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
NAPSA Stars
22%
Draws
18%
Nchanga Rangers
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: NAPSA Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • NAPSA Stars haven't matched Nchanga Rangers's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on NAPSA Stars taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
NAPSA Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NAPSA Stars Nchanga Rangers
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs NAPSA Stars
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs NAPSA Stars
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers
3:0
Apr 29, 2023 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAPSA Stars 68 / 100
Nchanga Rangers 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NAPSA Stars Nchanga Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NAPSA Stars's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: NAPSA Stars remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Nchanga Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

NAPSA Stars VS Nchanga Rangers
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

NAPSA Stars

(Home)
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Konkola Blades
0 : 0
NAPSA Stars
12 May
NAPSA Stars
2 : 0
Zanaco
03 May
Kabwe
1 : 0
NAPSA Stars
30 Apr
NAPSA Stars
1 : 1
Nkana
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Nchanga Rangers

(Away)
23 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 2
Konkola Blades
16 May
Zanaco
1 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
29 Apr
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 0
Nkwazi
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