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NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NAPSA Stars host Nchanga Rangers in the Super League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. NAPSA Stars have averaged 0.77 scored and 0.84 conceded recently, against Nchanga Rangers's 0.77 scored and 0.87 conceded. Head-to-head, NAPSA Stars have won 2 to Nchanga Rangers's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 12, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.00 - 0.51) back Nchanga Rangers to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
NAPSA Stars
30%
Draws
0%
Nchanga Rangers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: NAPSA Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nchanga Rangers lately — more wins on the board than NAPSA Stars.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on NAPSA Stars taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
NAPSA Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NAPSA Stars Nchanga Rangers
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 13 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.77 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.84 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs NAPSA Stars
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs NAPSA Stars
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers
3:0
Apr 29, 2023 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAPSA Stars 58 / 100
Nchanga Rangers 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NAPSA Stars Nchanga Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAPSA Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Nchanga Rangers registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

NAPSA Stars found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Nchanga Rangers has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

NAPSA Stars VS Nchanga Rangers
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

NAPSA Stars

(Home)
17 Oct
Zanaco
1 : 1
NAPSA Stars
10 Oct
Trident
0 : 0
NAPSA Stars
03 Oct
NAPSA Stars
1 : 1
Muza Fc
12 Sept
Prison Leopards
2 : 1
NAPSA Stars
11 Sept
Zanaco
0 : 2
NAPSA Stars
Page 1 of 7

Nchanga Rangers

(Away)
18 Oct
Nkana
2 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
11 Oct
Power Dynamos
1 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
03 Oct
Nchanga Rangers
0 : 1
Zanaco
23 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 2
Konkola Blades
16 May
Zanaco
1 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nkana 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Muza Fc 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Konkola Blades 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
4 Power Dynamos 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Zanaco 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
6 Kansanshi 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
7 NAPSA Stars 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
8 Trident 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
9 Makeni All Stars 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
10 Nchanga Rangers 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Green Buffaloes FC 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
3 Red Arrows 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Kabwe 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
5 Chirundu United 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Roan United 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
7 Zesco 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
8 Nkwazi 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
9 Mufulira Wanderers 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
10 Mutondo Stars 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)