Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nara Club vs FC Osaka

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Konoike Athletic Stadium, Nara
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Fukui K.
Assist: Shimada T.
24'
Morita R.
25'
Sub
Yoshimura Y. In: Ikoma K.
Out: Yoshimura Y.

AI Match Summary

FC Osaka in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Osaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Nara Club
35%
Draws
38%
FC Osaka
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Osaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Nara Club have won more games recently than FC Osaka.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Nara Club Clean Sheet 10%
FC Osaka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nara Club FC Osaka
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Emperors Cup
Nara Club vs FC Osaka
1:4
May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Nara Club vs FC Osaka
1:3
Mar 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
FC Osaka vs Nara Club
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 J3 League
Nara Club vs FC Osaka
1:1
Jun 30, 2025 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Nara Club
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nara Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamura S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Osaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Fukui K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sugawara R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nara Club 34 / 100
FC Osaka 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nara Club FC Osaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Osaka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nara Club scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: FC Osaka conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Nara Club went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nara Club VS FC Osaka
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nara Club

(Home)
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3
Nara Club
12 Sept
Nara Club
2 : 1
Gifu
06 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 2
Nara Club
02 Sept
Nara Club
1 : 2
Sagan Tosu
29 Aug
Fukushima United
2 : 2
Nara Club
Page 1 of 6

FC Osaka

(Away)
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1
Fukushima United
14 Sept
FC Osaka
2 : 1
Ehime
05 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 0
FC Osaka
02 Sept
FC Osaka
3 : 0
Kofu
30 Aug
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 0
FC Osaka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)