Sport Picks
Nara Club vs Kagoshima United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Konoike Athletic Stadium, Nara 
Match Events
30'
30'
Kawamura K.
Assist: Aoki Y.
45'
45'
Mochizuki S.
Assist: Ikoma K.
46'
46'
Sub
Nakayama K. In: Arita R.
Out: Nakayama K.
AI Match Summary
Kagoshima United in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kagoshima United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
20%
35%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nara Club
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kagoshima United lately — more wins on the board than Nara Club.
- Nara Club are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Nara Club Clean Sheet 68%
Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nara Club | Kagoshima United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 20 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 J3 League
Nara Club vs Kagoshima United
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 J3 League
Nara Club vs Kagoshima United
0:2
May 3, 2025 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Nara Club
1:2
Nov 5, 2023 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Nara Club
1:1
Jun 3, 2023 J3 League
Nara Club vs Kagoshima United
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nara Club Compare
Top Goalscorer Mochizuki S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Kagoshima United Compare
Top Goalscorer Kawamura K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arita R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nara Club 77 / 100
Kagoshima United 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nara Club Kagoshima United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nara Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nara Club's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Nara Club stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Kagoshima United let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Nara Club VS Kagoshima United
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Nara Club
(Home) 03 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Nara Club
26 Sept
Nara Club
4 : 1 Reilac Shiga
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3 Nara Club
12 Sept
Nara Club
2 : 1 Gifu
06 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 2 Nara Club
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Nara Club
4 : 1 Reilac Shiga
12 Sept
Nara Club
2 : 1 Gifu
02 Sept
Nara Club
1 : 2 Sagan Tosu
22 Aug
Nara Club
3 : 1 Renofa Yamaguchi
19 Aug
Nara Club
1 : 4 FC Osaka
Page 1 of 3
Kagoshima United
(Away) 07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kagoshima United
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2 Kagoshima United
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kagoshima United
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2 Kagoshima United
29 Aug
Kamatamare Sanuki
3 : 4 Kagoshima United
26 Aug
Albirex Niigata
0 : 4 Kagoshima United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 7 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 8 | Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 9 | Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 13 |
| 12 | Nagano Parceiro | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | 11 |
| 13 | Ryukyu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 17 | Fukushima United | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18:23 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:18 | 6 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3:20 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
