Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nara Club vs Tokushima

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Konoike Athletic Stadium, Nara
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Iwao K.
15' Event
Takagi Y.
Assist: Yanagisawa K.
23' Event
Thonny Anderson

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Nara Club and Tokushima finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tokushima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nara Club
39%
Draws
31%
Tokushima
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Nara Club haven't matched Tokushima's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Nara Club Clean Sheet 68%
Tokushima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nara Club Tokushima
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 18
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tokushima vs Nara Club
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 J2/J3 League
Nara Club vs Tokushima
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nara Club Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Tokushima Compare

Top Goalscorer Takagi Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Thonny Anderson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nara Club 41 / 100
Tokushima 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nara Club Tokushima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Nara Club found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Tokushima conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Nara Club went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nara Club VS Tokushima
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nara Club

(Home)
06 Jun
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2
Nara Club
30 May
Nara Club
4 : 3
Oita Trinita
23 May
Nara Club
5 : 1
Toyama
16 May
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Nara Club
10 May
Tokushima
1 : 2
Nara Club
Page 1 of 6

Tokushima

(Away)
07 Jun
Tokushima
2 : 0
Iwaki
30 May
Tokushima
3 : 1
Sagan Tosu
24 May
Tokushima
2 : 1
Imabari
17 May
Toyama
2 : 3
Tokushima
10 May
Tokushima
1 : 2
Nara Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai18160237:1543
2Blaublitz18110723:1635
3Shonan Bellmare18110728:2031
4Yokohama FC18100836:2829
5SC Sagamihara1890933:3628
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18701127:3923
7Montedio Yamagata18801022:2522
8Tochigi City18701122:3521
9Vanraure17501216:2318
10Tochigi SC17501224:3117
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kofu17110620:1233
2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo18110728:2231
3Iwaki18110726:2031
4Omiya Ardija18100839:2930
5Fujieda MYFC1890924:2330
6Gifu1790823:2527
7Matsumoto Yamaga18801033:2526
8Iwata1890920:2525
9Fukushima United18601230:4318
10Nagano Parceiro18501317:3616
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toyama18130540:2638
2Albirex Niigata18120624:1935
3Tokushima18110738:2332
4Kochi United18100825:2330
5Ehime1890926:2028
6Kanazawa18100820:2327
7Nara Club18701127:3621
8FC Osaka18601218:2320
9Imabari18601215:2120
10Kamatamare Sanuki18601215:3419
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki18150335:1347
2Kagoshima United18120627:1633
3Sagan Tosu18100826:1832
4Renofa Yamaguchi18100827:2429
5Kumamoto1890921:2127
6Gainare Tottori18100824:2527
7Oita Trinita18701119:2022
8Reilac Shiga18701116:2921
9Ryukyu18601217:2817
10Giravanz Kitakyushu18401417:3515
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)