Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nara Club vs Tokushima

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Konoike Athletic Stadium, Nara
Nara Club Logo

Nara Club

0 - 6
FT
Tokushima Logo

Tokushima

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Iwao K.
15' Event
Takagi Y.
Assist: Yanagisawa K.
23' Event
Thonny Anderson
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Nara Club and Tokushima finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tokushima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Nara Club
15%
Draws
40%
Tokushima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nara Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Nara Club haven't matched Tokushima's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Nara Club taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Nara Club Clean Sheet 68%
Tokushima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nara Club Tokushima
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 2 1
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tokushima vs Nara Club
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 J2/J3 League
Nara Club vs Tokushima
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nara Club Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Tokushima Compare

Top Goalscorer Takagi Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Thonny Anderson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nara Club 95 / 100
Tokushima 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nara Club Tokushima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nara Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nara Club found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Nara Club remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tokushima let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nara Club VS Tokushima
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nara Club

(Home)
26 Sept
Nara Club
4 : 1
Reilac Shiga
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3
Nara Club
12 Sept
Nara Club
2 : 1
Gifu
06 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 2
Nara Club
02 Sept
Nara Club
1 : 2
Sagan Tosu
Page 1 of 6

Tokushima

(Away)
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0
Tochigi City
23 Sept
Gamba Osaka
5 : 0
Tokushima
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Tokushima
12 Sept
Blaublitz
4 : 1
Tokushima
05 Sept
Tokushima
1 : 0
Iwaki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)