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Nardo vs Herd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nardo host Herd in the Division 3 - Group 2. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Herd have shipped 1.89 goals a game lately, while Nardo have conceded 2.07 and scored 2.1. Past meetings favor Nardo slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (2.63 xG vs 1.69) point toward Nardo. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Nardo
20%
Draws
11%
Herd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Nardo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nardo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Nardo Clean Sheet 13%
Herd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nardo Herd
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.1 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Herd vs Nardo
4:1
Aug 16, 2014 Division 2 - Group 2
Herd vs Nardo
1:2
May 3, 2014 Division 2 - Group 2
Nardo vs Herd
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nardo 84 / 100
Herd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nardo Herd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nardo's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Herd conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: Nardo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nardo VS Herd
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nardo

(Home)
03 Oct
Nardo
0 : 1
Strindheim
26 Sept
Ntnui
2 : 5
Nardo
21 Sept
Nardo
4 : 1
Ranheim 2
13 Sept
Rosenborg 2
2 : 5
Nardo
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
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Herd

(Away)
02 Oct
Molde 2
6 : 2
Herd
26 Sept
Herd
0 : 0
FK Kvik
19 Sept
Byasen
6 : 1
Herd
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
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