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Stadium Background

Nardo vs Steinkjer

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Hustad I. H.
14' Event
Hustad I. H.
33' Event
Heggelund P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2023 game between Nardo and Steinkjer finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nardo
15%
Draws
42%
Steinkjer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Nardo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nardo a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • Nardo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Nardo Clean Sheet 68%
Steinkjer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nardo Steinkjer
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 8 2
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 2.63 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.68 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 3.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Steinkjer vs Nardo
0:3
Jun 18, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Nardo vs Steinkjer
8:0
Aug 6, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Nardo vs Steinkjer
5:1
Apr 23, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Steinkjer vs Nardo
0:3
Mar 7, 2017 Club Friendly
Nardo vs Steinkjer
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Stokke S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Hustad I. H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.03
Avg xA / game 1.97

Steinkjer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nardo 68 / 100
Steinkjer 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nardo Steinkjer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nardo found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (41 games).

Defensive concern: Steinkjer conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Steinkjer registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nardo VS Steinkjer
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 6
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Nardo

(Home)
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
08 Aug
Volda
2 : 0
Nardo
03 Aug
Nardo
3 : 0
Molde 2
25 Jul
Spjelkavik
4 : 2
Nardo
27 Jun
Ranheim 2
5 : 3
Nardo
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Steinkjer

(Away)
22 Aug
Steinkjer
0 : 6
Ranheim
29 Oct
Steinkjer
0 : 1
Verdal
22 Oct
Bodo/Glimt 2
8 : 0
Steinkjer
14 Oct
Steinkjer
2 : 4
Rana FK
07 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
1 : 6
Steinkjer
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