Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 game between Naron and SD Negreira finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naron.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Negreira
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and SD Negreira come out ahead of Naron on wins alone.
- Model gives SD Negreira a 73% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- SD Negreira have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Naron Clean Sheet 20%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naron | SD Negreira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.3 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Naron
3:0
Sep 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs SD Negreira
1:2
Mar 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs SD Negreira
1:0
Oct 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Naron
3:0
Apr 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Naron
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Naron 24 / 100
SD Negreira 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Naron SD Negreira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SD Negreira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: SD Negreira conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
SD Negreira lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Naron scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS SD Negreira
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Naron
(Home) 19 May
Rapido de Bouzas
4 : 1 Naron
12 May
Naron
3 : 3 Deportivo Fabril
05 May
Betanzos CF
2 : 1 Naron
28 Apr
Naron
1 : 3 Villalonga
21 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
5 : 0 Naron
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Naron
3 : 3 Deportivo Fabril
28 Apr
Naron
1 : 3 Villalonga
14 Apr
Naron
2 : 0 Dorneda
28 Mar
Naron
0 : 1 CD AS Pontes
17 Mar
Naron
3 : 2 Bergantinos
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SD Negreira
(Away) 28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3 Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0 Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1 SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2 SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1 Somozas
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1 SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2 SD Negreira
01 May
CD Cultural Areas
2 : 1 SD Negreira
22 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 2 SD Negreira
08 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0 SD Negreira
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cerceda | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 58:17 | 83 |
| 2 | Racing Club Ferrol | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 79:29 | 73 |
| 3 | CD Ourense | 36 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 71:31 | 67 |
| 4 | Racing Club Villalbes | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 39:25 | 63 |
| 5 | Somozas | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 49:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Alondras | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 47:38 | 55 |
| 7 | SD Ordenes | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 42:44 | 55 |
| 8 | SD Negreira | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 41:35 | 51 |
| 9 | Villalonga | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 42:45 | 49 |
| 10 | Rapido de Bouzas | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 43:51 | 44 |
| 11 | CD AS Pontes | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 41:53 | 44 |
| 12 | Estradense | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 37:41 | 44 |
| 13 | Meson do Bento | 36 | 7 | 19 | 10 | 36:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Bergantinos | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 33:45 | 40 |
| 15 | CD Cultural Areas | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 40:55 | 39 |
| 16 | Pontevedra B | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 17 | Santa Comba | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 30:52 | 35 |
| 18 | Naron | 36 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 33:56 | 31 |
| 19 | Portonovo SD | 36 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 23:71 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
