Sport Picks

Finland

Kakkonen Group C 2006

Sepsi - 78

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Narpes Kraft play Sepsi - 78 in the Kakkonen Group C 2006. Narpes Kraft are favorites here. Recently, Narpes Kraft averaged 2.34 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Sepsi - 78 averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Narpes Kraft won 1, Sepsi - 78 won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Sep 15, 2007 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Narpes Kraft and 1.00 for Sepsi - 78. This points to a Narpes Kraft double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Narpes Kraft

25%

Draws

15%

Sepsi - 78

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Narpes Kraft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Narpes Kraft picked up more points recently compared to Sepsi - 78.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Narpes Kraft Clean Sheet 23%

Sepsi - 78 Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Narpes Kraft	Sepsi - 78
Matches Played	44	32
Wins	20	11
Draws	6	8
Losses	18	13
Goals Scored	2.34	1.53
Goals Conceded	1.8	1.69

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2007 Kakkonen Group C

Sepsi - 78 vs Narpes Kraft

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Jun 10, 2007 Kakkonen Group C

Narpes Kraft vs Sepsi - 78

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 4 - 2

2:2

Aug 2, 2006 Kakkonen Group C

Narpes Kraft vs Sepsi - 78

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Apr 29, 2006 Kakkonen Group C

Sepsi - 78 vs Narpes Kraft

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Aug 13, 2005 Kakkonen West

Sepsi - 78 vs Narpes Kraft

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narpes Kraft 59 / 100

Sepsi - 78 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Narpes Kraft Sepsi - 78

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narpes Kraft Win (1)

Secondary Pick Narpes Kraft & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Narpes Kraft attacking → ← attacking Sepsi - 78

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Narpes Kraft scored in 80% of their last 44 games.

Sepsi - 78 let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Narpes Kraft went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sepsi - 78 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 41

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	GBK Kokkola	26	20	2	4	66:21	62
2	PS Kemi	26	15	8	3	66:25	53
3	JBK	26	15	3	8	53:35	48
4	OLS Oulu	26	12	7	7	46:31	43
5	SJK-j Apollo	26	13	3	10	55:43	42
6	Narpes Kraft	26	12	4	10	40:37	40
7	YPA	26	11	7	8	41:41	40
8	Sepsi - 78	26	11	5	10	35:29	38
9	FC Kiisto Vaasa	26	10	5	11	45:43	35
10	Lynx Napapiiri	26	9	7	10	51:52	34
11	OPS	26	8	5	13	40:42	29
12	FC Korsholm Mustasaari	26	6	6	14	32:58	24
13	TUS	26	6	5	15	34:64	23
14	Lapuan Virkia Lapua	26	0	1	25	15:98	1