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Nart Cherkessk vs Rubin Yalta

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Biryukov E.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 game between Nart Cherkessk and Rubin Yalta finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rubin Yalta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Nart Cherkessk
15%
Draws
40%
Rubin Yalta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nart Cherkessk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Rubin Yalta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Nart Cherkessk Clean Sheet 68%
Rubin Yalta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nart Cherkessk Rubin Yalta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Rubin Yalta
0:1
Jun 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Nart Cherkessk
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Rubin Yalta
2:0
May 3, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Nart Cherkessk
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Rubin Yalta
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nart Cherkessk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Rubin Yalta Compare

Top Goalscorer Biryukov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nart Cherkessk 41 / 100
Rubin Yalta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nart Cherkessk Rubin Yalta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nart Cherkessk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nart Cherkessk found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Rubin Yalta let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Nart Cherkessk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nart Cherkessk VS Rubin Yalta
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nart Cherkessk

(Home)
03 Oct
Nart Cherkessk
2 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
26 Sept
Izberbash
1 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
19 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
3 : 0
Angust Nazran
12 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Maykop
05 Sept
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
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Rubin Yalta

(Away)
03 Oct
Rubin Yalta
4 : 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
26 Sept
Shahter Taganrog
0 : 1
Rubin Yalta
22 Sept
FC Sevastopol
3 : 1
Rubin Yalta
12 Sept
Kyzyltash
2 : 0
Rubin Yalta
29 Aug
Rubin Yalta
4 : 1
Maykop
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