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Narva U21 vs Legion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Narva U21 host Legion in the Esiliiga B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Narva U21 have averaged 2.36 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Legion's 0.87 scored and 3.6 conceded. Past meetings favor Narva U21 slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.75 vs 0.75, favoring Narva U21. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Narva U21
15%
Draws
5%
Legion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Narva U21 have won more games recently than Legion.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Narva U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Narva U21 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva U21 Legion
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 19 3
Draws 3 3
Losses 6 24
Goals Scored 2.36 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.18 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Narva U21
1:2
Aug 9, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Narva U21
1:3
May 2, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Legion
5:0
Sep 28, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Narva U21
0:4
Aug 16, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Legion
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva U21 85 / 100
Legion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva U21 Legion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Narva U21's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Legion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Narva U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Narva U21 VS Legion
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
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Legion

(Away)
03 Oct
Legion
0 : 3
Levadia U19
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)