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Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Baljabkin N.
50' Event
Baljabkin N.
74' Event
Ilves R.

AI Match Summary

Narva U21 in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Narva U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Narva U21
6%
Draws
4%
Tallinna Kalev U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Narva U21 lately — more wins on the board than Tallinna Kalev U21.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Narva U21 taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva U21 Tallinna Kalev U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 2 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Narva U21
2:3
Apr 4, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
3:1
Oct 29, 2023 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
1:0
Aug 6, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Narva U21
2:1
Jun 29, 2023 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baljabkin N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Torchakov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ilves R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva U21 83 / 100
Tallinna Kalev U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva U21 Tallinna Kalev U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Narva U21 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Tallinna Kalev U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Narva U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Narva U21 VS Tallinna Kalev U21
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2119122554:3738
2Tulevik19111755:3934
3Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
4Narva U2118102644:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2119102756:4232
6Levadia U1919102748:3432
7Tabasalu19901033:5027
8Tartu Kalev19811049:4225
9Tallinna Kalev U2119421338:4614
10Legion18211516:777