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Narva United vs Flora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Anier H.
13' Event
Kreida V.
33' Event
Aloe K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-8, with Flora advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Narva United
15%
Draws
50%
Flora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Narva United haven't matched Flora's recent run of results.
  • Flora are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Flora arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Flora, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Narva United Clean Sheet 19%
Flora Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva United Flora
Matches Played 11 34
Wins 7 21
Draws 0 3
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.91 2.24
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2017 Estonian Cup
Narva United vs Flora
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Anier H.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sorga E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva United 20 / 100
Flora 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva United Flora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Narva United scored in 82% of their last 11 outings.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Flora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Solid form: Narva United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Flora
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva United

(Home)
08 Aug
Narva United
0 : 8
Flora
26 Jul
Narva United
2 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus
10 May
FCI Tallinn
2 : 0
Narva United
12 Apr
Narva United
3 : 1
Kuressaare
19 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 3
Narva United
Page 1 of 3

Flora

(Away)
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Narva 6
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
TBD -
Pohja-Sakala -
Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia Tallinn III -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Kose 1
Raasiku Joker 10
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
Pirita 1
Rakvere 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Ambla -
Tallinna Depoo -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 1
Ganvix Turi 4
Anija 7
Puhkus Mehhikos 0
Elbato 1
Lihula JK 7
Castovanni Eagles -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn II 0
FCI Tallinn 7
Kalju 13
Viimsi JK 2 0
TBD -
Koeru -
Kohtla-Nomme 3
Soccernet 1
TBD -
Lelle -
FC Tartu 3
Eston Villa 1
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev III -
Santos Tartu -
TBD -
JK Poseidon II 1
Paide Linnameeskond II 12
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 7
Rakvere II 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 2
Saue JK Laagri 10
Flora U19 5
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Raplamaa 0
Tartu JK Welco 1
Paide Linnameeskond 27
FC Hiiu United 0
Imavere Forss 1
Jogeva 4
Sillamae Kalev -
TBD -
Nomme Utd 0
Levadia 3
Flora Tallinn U21 10
Rumori Calcio II 0
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II -
Jogeva Wolves 5
Odratakkel 1
TBD -
Viimsi JK -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Otepaa 6
Jarva-Jaani 18
JK 32. keskkool 2
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
Maardu United -
TBD -
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
Tartu Ulikool 1
Viimsi Lovid 0
Tallinna Wolves 0
TransferWise 2
Kohila -
TBD -
Oismae Torm 2
Jogeva Wolves II 3
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
FC Lootos Polva 1
Kadrina SK Moe 4
Loo JK -
TBD -
Navi Vutiselts 2
Rada Kuusalu 4
Kadakas 7
Raudteetoolised 2
TBD -
Rapla Lokomotiiv -
Molycorp Silmet 2
Igiliikur 0
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Elva -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos 3
FC Ararat 5
SK Taaksi 1
Vaatsa Vald 0
Tallinn Piraaja 1
Maardu Aliens 2
Narva United -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Tammeka Tartu II 6
Olympic Tallinn 1
Helios 1
Flora 17
1/32-finals
Narva 8
Pohja-Sakala 0
Legion 0
Levadia Tallinn III 3
JK Poseidon 2
Raasiku Joker 0
Tallinna Kalev 0
Rakvere 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 4
Ambla 1
Tallinna Depoo 1
Ganvix Turi 12
Anija 5
Lihula JK 1
Castovanni Eagles 0
FCI Tallinn 4
Kalju 1
Koeru 0
Kohtla-Nomme 2
Lelle 3
FC Tartu 5
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Santos Tartu 0
Paide Linnameeskond II 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Saue JK Laagri 0
Flora U19 0
Tartu JK Welco 2
Paide Linnameeskond 7
Jogeva 3
Sillamae Kalev 1
Levadia 2
Flora Tallinn U21 8
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 0
Jogeva Wolves 1
Viimsi JK 6
Zenit Tallinn 5
Otepaa 2
Jarva-Jaani 1
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Maardu United 10
Valga Warrior 0
Tartu Ulikool 2
TransferWise 3
Kohila 3
Jogeva Wolves II 0
Tammeka Tartu 0
Tulevik 1
Kuressaare 12
Kadrina SK Moe 0
Loo JK 1
Rada Kuusalu 2
Kadakas 2
Rapla Lokomotiiv 1
Molycorp Silmet 0
Rumori Calcio 6
Elva 8
FC Ararat 0
SK Taaksi 1
Maardu Aliens 6
Narva United 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Tammeka Tartu II 0
Flora 7
1/16-finals
Narva 9
Levadia Tallinn III 2
JK Poseidon 0
Rakvere 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu 2
Ganvix Turi 1
Anija 0
FCI Tallinn 16
Kalju 8
Lelle 0
FC Tartu 0
Paide Linnameeskond II 11
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 5
Tartu JK Welco 0
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Levadia 3
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Viimsi JK 0
Zenit Tallinn 1
Pohja-Tallinna 5
Maardu United 5
TransferWise 4
Kohila 0
Tulevik 8
Kuressaare 9
Rada Kuusalu 1
Kadakas 2
Rumori Calcio 3
Elva 3
Maardu Aliens 0
Narva United 0
Flora 8
1/8-finals
Narva 2
Rakvere 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
FCI Tallinn 7
Kalju 2
Paide Linnameeskond II 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Levadia 7
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Pohja-Tallinna 0
Maardu United -
Tulevik -
Kuressaare 6
Rumori Calcio 0
Elva 0
Flora 2
Quarter-finals
Narva 6
FCI Tallinn 0
Kalju 0
Levadia 1
Flora Tallinn U21 7
Tulevik 3
Kuressaare 0
Flora 7
Semi-finals
Narva 0
Levadia 5
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Flora 9
Final
Levadia 1
Flora 0