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Narva vs Levadia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva
Narva Logo

Narva

1 - 3
FT
Levadia Logo

Levadia

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Burjanadze S.
31'
Alexandre
35' Event
Roosnupp M.
Assist: Tambedou B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Narva and Levadia finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Narva
30%
Draws
61%
Levadia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Levadia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Levadia taking it.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Narva Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva Levadia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 23
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 1.24 3.32
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Levadia
1:1
Aug 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Narva
4:0
Jul 4, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Levadia
1:3
Apr 26, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Narva
7:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia vs Narva
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva Compare

Top Goalscorer Baljabkin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tambedou B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Roosnupp M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva 10 / 100
Levadia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva Levadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Narva scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Levadia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Narva went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Narva VS Levadia
0.88 Goals Scored 3.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva

(Home)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 6

Levadia

(Away)
07 Oct
Levadia
10 : 0
Keila JK
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)