Sport Picks
Narva vs Maardu Aliens - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2019/2020 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Estonian Cup 2019/2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Maardu Aliens have shipped 2.9 goals a game lately, while Narva have conceded 1.9 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Narva slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 13, 2019, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 1.19, favoring Narva. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Narva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Narva carry the better recent record into this one.
- Narva are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Narva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Narva Clean Sheet 20%
Maardu Aliens Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Narva | Maardu Aliens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 13, 2019 Estonian Cup
Narva vs Maardu Aliens
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Narva 85 / 100
Maardu Aliens 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Narva Maardu Aliens
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Narva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maardu Aliens has conceded goals in 100% of their last 7 outings.
Maardu Aliens lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Narva scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 0.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Narva VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Narva
(Home) 20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1 Levadia
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0 Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2 Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1 Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2 Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1 Levadia
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2 Flora
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2 Tammeka Tartu
26 Aug
Narva
2 : 0 Kalju
16 Aug
Narva
1 : 1 Paide Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 4
Maardu Aliens
(Away) 26 Jul
Maardu Aliens
1 : 4 JK Poseidon
31 Jul
Maardu Aliens
0 : 12 Kuressaare
25 Jul
Maardu Aliens
: FC Tallinn
30 Jun
Olympic Tallinn
5 : 4 Maardu Aliens
25 Jul
Maardu Aliens
2 : 3 Eston Villa
Page 1 of 2
30 Jun
Olympic Tallinn
5 : 4 Maardu Aliens
11 Aug
Tulevik
: Maardu Aliens
13 Jul
Narva
: Maardu Aliens
11 Jun
Tallinn Piraaja
1 : 2 Maardu Aliens
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Elva 3
SK EPMU Tartu 0
TBD -
Viimsi Lovid -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarvastu -
Tabasalu -
TBD -
TransferWise 1
Lelle 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
ReUnited -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Flora U19 10
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Molycorp Silmet -
Tallinna Kalev III 4
Tammeka Tartu IV 0
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Puhkus Mehhikos -
TBD -
JK 32. keskkool -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II -
Tulevik -
Kadrina SK Moe -
Viimsi JK 2 1
Igiliikur 2
Vastseliina Tannem 3
Soccernet 1
Mulgi 0
Tallinna Wolves 1
Legion II 3
Tallinn Piraaja 1
TBD -
Aksi Wolves -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn 1
Tammeka Tartu 8
Paide Linnameeskond 9
Olympic Tallinn 1
TBD -
Kristiine -
Teleios -
TBD -
Viking 0
Pohja-Tallinna 18
Maardu Linnameeskond 12
Valga Warrior 0
TBD -
Elbato -
Kohtla-Nomme -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Zenit Tallinn 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos 0
TBD -
Levadia -
Paide Linnameeskond II 13
Mauruse Saurused 2
TBD -
Kose -
Keila JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
Maksatransport 1
Kadakas 3
Legion -
TBD -
Maardu Aliens -
Narva -
Eston Villa II -
TBD -
TBD -
Loo JK -
Parnu Sadam 5
Kohila 0
Jogeva 2
Otepaa 4
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool -
TBD -
Metsis 0
Eston Villa 15
Marjamaa Kompanii 6
FC Sssolutions 2
TBD -
Anija -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Rakvere 0
TBD -
Voru Helios -
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Helios 5
Rumori Calcio II 1
Parnu-Jaagupi 2
Pohja-Sakala 5
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Jogeva Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna 2 -
1/32-finals
Elva 7
Viimsi Lovid 0
JK Jalgpallihaigla 2
Tarvastu 7
Tabasalu 1
Lelle 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
Flora Tallinn U21 5
ReUnited 5
JK Poseidon 1
Flora U19 2
Molycorp Silmet 5
Tallinna Kalev III 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Puhkus Mehhikos 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 6
Tulevik 7
Igiliikur 1
Vastseliina Tannem 1
Tallinna Wolves 5
Legion II 9
Aksi Wolves 0
Nomme Utd 1
Tammeka Tartu 3
Paide Linnameeskond 10
Kristiine 0
Teleios 2
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Elbato 0
Kohtla-Nomme 0
Flora 12
Helm 3
Rumori Calcio 2
Zenit Tallinn 0
Levadia 7
Paide Linnameeskond II 5
Kose 0
Keila JK 0
Kalju 2
Kuressaare 12
Kadakas 1
Legion 0
Narva 7
Eston Villa II 1
Loo JK 0
Parnu Sadam 1
Otepaa 2
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 3
Eston Villa 2
Marjamaa Kompanii 1
Anija 2
Tartu JK Welco 10
Jarva-Jaani 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Voru Helios 1
Tallinna Kalev 1
FC Hell Hunt 0
Helios 1
Pohja-Sakala 5
Viimsi JK 2
Raplamaa 0
Jogeva Wolves 0
Pohja-Tallinna 2 6
1/16-finals
Elva 4
Tarvastu 1
Tabasalu 2
Flora Tallinn U21 1
ReUnited 5
Molycorp Silmet 2
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Tulevik 11
Tallinna Wolves 0
Legion II 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 13
Pohja-Tallinna 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Flora 7
Helm 1
Levadia 21
Paide Linnameeskond II 0
Kalju 3
Kuressaare 1
Narva 3
Eston Villa II 3
Otepaa 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 3
Anija 0
Tartu JK Welco 1
Voru Helios 2
Tallinna Kalev 3
Pohja-Sakala 0
Viimsi JK 0
Pohja-Tallinna 2 2
1/8-finals
Elva 2
Tabasalu 0
ReUnited 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Tulevik 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Flora 3
Levadia 1
Kalju 2
Narva 21
Eston Villa II 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 0
Voru Helios 1
Tallinna Kalev 7
Pohja-Tallinna 2 0
Quarter-finals
Elva 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 1
Tammeka Tartu 0
Flora 3
Kalju 1
Narva 2
Voru Helios 0
Tallinna Kalev 6
Semi-finals
Elva 2
Flora 4
Narva 4
Tallinna Kalev 1
Final
Flora 2
Narva 1
