Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva

Narva

8 - 0

Marjamaa Kompanii

Our Tip

Match Events

Gero A.

17'

Gero A.

21'

Doke J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 8-0. This leg finished 8-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Narva

15%

Draws

39%

Marjamaa Kompanii

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Narva lately — more wins on the board than Marjamaa Kompanii.
46% — that's where the model lands on Narva taking it.
Narva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Narva, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Narva Clean Sheet 10%

Marjamaa Kompanii Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Narva	Marjamaa Kompanii
Matches Played	28	17
Wins	9	8
Draws	2	0
Losses	17	9
Goals Scored	1.43	3.06
Goals Conceded	2.04	3.59
Expected Goals (xG)	3.75	2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Estonian Cup

Narva vs Marjamaa Kompanii

8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva Compare

Top Goalscorer Gero A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Doke J.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.88

Avg xA / game 1.88

Marjamaa Kompanii Compare

Avg xG / game 2.45

Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva 83 / 100

Marjamaa Kompanii 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Narva Marjamaa Kompanii

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marjamaa Kompanii let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Solid form: Narva remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Marjamaa Kompanii registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Narva VS Marjamaa Kompanii

1.5 Goals Scored 4

1.38 Goals Conceded 6

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva

(Home)

21 Aug

Levadia

4 : 0

Narva

16 Aug

Narva

1 : 1

Paide Linnameeskond

11 Aug

Narva

8 : 0

Marjamaa Kompanii

08 Aug

Narva

0 : 2

Kalju

31 Jul

Nomme Utd

1 : 2

Narva

Page 1 of 6

Marjamaa Kompanii

(Away)

11 Aug

Narva

8 : 0

Marjamaa Kompanii

21 Jul

Marjamaa Kompanii

8 : 4

Generation Tallinn

31 Jul

Saku Sporting

3 : 2

Marjamaa Kompanii

10 Jun

Marjamaa Kompanii

4 : 0

Kubik

27 Aug

Marjamaa Kompanii

0 : 2

Tabasalu

Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Flora -

TBD -

JK Arsenal 0

Tallinna Kalev U21 3

Rakvere FC Freedom 3

Kena JK 2

EstHam United -

TBD -

Kose 8

Kummik 0

Rumori Calcio II -

TBD -

Tartu JK Welco -

Laanemaa Haapsalu -

TBD -

Jarva-Jaani 0

Elva 4

Arukula Vigri -

TBD -

Raasiku Joker -

Tammeka Tartu U19 -

TBD -

Tallinna Kalev -

Tartu Kalev 4

Paide Linnameeskond III 3

TBD -

Kuusalu Kalev -

Narva 10

Vana Hea Puur 0

TBD -

Flora Tallinn U21 -

Marjamaa Kompanii -

TBD -

Generation Tallinn -

JK Poseidon -

TBD -

Helm 30

Deliirium 0

TBD -

Kalju -

Hiiumaa -

TBD -

Tulevik -

Nomme Utd -

TBD -

Raplamaa -

Johvi Phoenix 4

Elva III 2

TBD -

FC Hell Hunt -

Lahte United 1

Tabasalu Ulasabat 3

TBD -

Parnu JK Vaprus -

Kristiine -

TBD -

Jogeva Wolves -

Kuressaare -

TBD -

Tartu JK Welco 2 -

TransferWise -

TBD -

Olympic Tallinn -

Saku Sporting -

TBD -

Legion -

Kohvile -

TBD -

Rumori Calcio -

Tammeka Tartu -

TBD -

Zealot Sporting -

Tartu Helios -

TBD -

Soccernet -

Viimsi JK -

TBD -

Nomme Utd U19 -

FC Tallinn -

TBD -

Tallinna FC Zapoos -

Saue JK Laagri 6

Viimsi Lovid 0

TBD -

Harju JK Laagri U21 -

Harju JK Laagri -

TBD -

Rae Spordikool -

Tallinna Wolves 0

Tabasalu 10

TBD -

Tamper -

Levadia -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond -

TalTech JK -

TBD -

Keila JK -

Flora U19 -

TBD -

Pohja-Tallinna -

1/32-finals

Flora -

TBD -

Tallinna Kalev U21 4

Rakvere FC Freedom 2

EstHam United 1

Kose 5

Rumori Calcio II 0

Tartu JK Welco 12

Laanemaa Haapsalu 0

Elva 6

Arukula Vigri 0

Raasiku Joker 1

Tammeka Tartu U19 0

Tallinna Kalev 8

Tartu Kalev 7

Kuusalu Kalev 0

Narva 1

Flora Tallinn U21 0

Marjamaa Kompanii 8

Generation Tallinn 4

JK Poseidon 3

Helm 2

TBD -

Kalju -

Hiiumaa 4

Tulevik 1

Nomme Utd 12

Raplamaa 0

Johvi Phoenix 8

FC Hell Hunt 1

Tabasalu Ulasabat 1

Parnu JK Vaprus 4

Kristiine 8

Jogeva Wolves 3

Kuressaare 5

Tartu JK Welco 2 1

TransferWise 3

Olympic Tallinn 6

Saku Sporting 2

Legion 1

Kohvile 1

Rumori Calcio 4

Tammeka Tartu 19

Zealot Sporting 0

Tartu Helios -

Soccernet -

Viimsi JK 4

Nomme Utd U19 0

FC Tallinn 4

Tallinna FC Zapoos 1

Saue JK Laagri 1

Harju JK Laagri U21 2

Harju JK Laagri 8

Rae Spordikool 0

Tabasalu 0

Tamper 2

Levadia -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond -

TalTech JK 0

Keila JK 6

Flora U19 6

Pohja-Tallinna 3

1/16-finals

Flora -

Tallinna Kalev U21 -

Kose 0

Tartu JK Welco 8

Elva -

Raasiku Joker -

Tallinna Kalev 8

Tartu Kalev 0

Narva 8

Marjamaa Kompanii 0

JK Poseidon 0

Kalju 12

Hiiumaa 0

Nomme Utd 2

Johvi Phoenix 0

Parnu JK Vaprus 5

Kristiine 0

Kuressaare 8

Olympic Tallinn 0

Saku Sporting 7

Rumori Calcio 0

Tammeka Tartu 1

Tartu Helios 1

Viimsi JK 4

FC Tallinn -

Harju JK Laagri U21 -

Harju JK Laagri 3

Tamper 1

Levadia -

Paide Linnameeskond -

Keila JK 3

Flora U19 2

1/8-finals

TBD -

Tartu JK Welco -

Elva -

Tallinna Kalev -

Narva -

Kalju -

Nomme Utd -

Parnu JK Vaprus -

Kuressaare -

Saku Sporting -

Tammeka Tartu -

Viimsi JK -

TBD -

Harju JK Laagri -

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Narva vs Marjamaa Kompanii

Estonia

Narva

Marjamaa Kompanii

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Narva Compare

Marjamaa Kompanii Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Narva

Marjamaa Kompanii

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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