Sport Picks

Estonia

Meistriliiga Narva Kalev-Fama staadion

Narva

1 - 0

Paide Linnameeskond

Our Tip

Match Events

44'

Kudriashov V.

55'

Sub

Andrade In: Smirnov R.

Out: Andrade

56'

Sub

Kudriashov V. In: Velijev M.

Out: Kudriashov V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Narva and Paide Linnameeskond finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Narva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Narva

Draws

90%

Paide Linnameeskond

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Paide Linnameeskond come out ahead of Narva on wins alone.
Paide Linnameeskond are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Narva Clean Sheet 19%

Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Narva	Paide Linnameeskond
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	6	16
Draws	5	7
Losses	21	7
Goals Scored	1.63	1
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Meistriliiga

Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Mar 15, 2026 Meistriliiga

Paide Linnameeskond vs Narva

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly

Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Sep 27, 2025 Meistriliiga

Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond

Possession: 59% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

2:3

Jul 20, 2025 Meistriliiga

Paide Linnameeskond vs Narva

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva Compare

Top Goalscorer Slein G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva 10 / 100

Paide Linnameeskond 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Narva Paide Linnameeskond

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:7

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Paide Linnameeskond conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Narva found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Narva has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Narva VS Paide Linnameeskond

1.63 Goals Scored 1

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Levadia	19	14	4	1	49:16	46
2	Flora	18	12	0	6	38:19	36
3	Kalju	19	10	4	5	33:16	34
4	Paide Linnameeskond	19	9	5	5	30:23	32
5	Parnu JK Vaprus	19	8	2	9	27:35	26
6	Tammeka Tartu	18	8	2	8	21:26	26
7	Nomme Utd	19	7	1	11	37:45	22
8	Harju JK Laagri	19	7	1	11	25:32	22
9	Kuressaare	19	5	2	12	19:33	17
10	Narva	19	3	1	15	12:46	10