Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Estonian Cup 2010/2011. This one's hard to separate. Saaremaa have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Narva have conceded 1.83 and scored 1.27. Head-to-head, Narva have won 1 to Saaremaa's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2012, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.19) point toward Saaremaa. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Narva lately — more wins on the board than Saaremaa.
- Win probability leans Narva's way, sitting at 42%.
- Narva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Narva, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Narva | Saaremaa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 7 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 17 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Saaremaa let in goals in 80% of their last 5 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Narva scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Narva stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
