Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Narva vs Tartu JK Welco

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Maksimkin M.
49' Event
84' Event
Shantenkov V.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Narva and Tartu JK Welco finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Narva
6%
Draws
90%
Tartu JK Welco
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tartu JK Welco come out ahead of Narva on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tartu JK Welco a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Narva have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Narva Clean Sheet 10%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva Tartu JK Welco
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.63 3
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Narva vs Tartu JK Welco
2:2
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Narva vs Tartu JK Welco
3:1
Oct 23, 2021 Estonian Cup
Narva vs Tartu JK Welco
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksimkin M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shantenkov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Tartu JK Welco Compare

Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva 10 / 100
Tartu JK Welco 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva Tartu JK Welco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tartu JK Welco conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Attacking prowess: Narva scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Narva stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Narva VS Tartu JK Welco
1.63 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%