Sport Picks
Narva vs Zenit Tallinn
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2023/2024 Narva Kreenholmi staadion, Narva 
Match Events
10'
10'
Volkov A.
27'
27'
Suarez H.
53'
53'
Volkov A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-0, with Narva advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zenit Tallinn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Narva come out ahead of Zenit Tallinn on wins alone.
- Narva are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Narva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Narva, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Narva Clean Sheet 20%
Zenit Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Narva | Zenit Tallinn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 16 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 2.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 4.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2023 Estonian Cup
Narva vs Zenit Tallinn
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Narva Compare
Top Goalscorer Volkov A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Suarez H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Zenit Tallinn Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Narva 76 / 100
Zenit Tallinn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Narva Zenit Tallinn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Narva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zenit Tallinn has conceded goals in 94% of their last 16 outings.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Narva remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Narva's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Narva VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Narva
(Home) 21 Aug
Levadia
4 : 0 Narva
16 Aug
Narva
1 : 1 Paide Linnameeskond
11 Aug
Narva
8 : 0 Marjamaa Kompanii
08 Aug
Narva
0 : 2 Kalju
31 Jul
Nomme Utd
1 : 2 Narva
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Narva
1 : 1 Paide Linnameeskond
11 Aug
Narva
8 : 0 Marjamaa Kompanii
08 Aug
Narva
0 : 2 Kalju
22 Jul
Narva
1 : 0 Flora Tallinn U21
18 Jul
Narva
3 : 1 Parnu JK Vaprus
Page 1 of 4
Zenit Tallinn
(Away) 23 Aug
Narva
5 : 0 Zenit Tallinn
30 Jul
Rumori Calcio
3 : 8 Zenit Tallinn
21 Jun
Zenit Tallinn
3 : 1 Hiiumaa
24 Aug
Zenit Tallinn
1 : 6 Tulevik
29 Jun
Zenit Tallinn
5 : 3 JK Poseidon
Page 1 of 4
23 Aug
Narva
5 : 0 Zenit Tallinn
30 Jul
Rumori Calcio
3 : 8 Zenit Tallinn
06 Aug
Levadia
7 : 0 Zenit Tallinn
13 Jun
Tallinna FC Zapoos
0 : 3 Zenit Tallinn
25 Sept
Tabasalu
6 : 1 Zenit Tallinn
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TBD -
Tartu Kalev 9
FC Sssolutions 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Tallinna Kalev III 0
Legion 10
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Imavere Forss -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Alliance -
Elva -
TBD -
TBD -
Saue JK Laagri -
Tervis Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
FCP Parnu -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
TBD -
Loo JK -
Raplamaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
Valga Warrior -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora IV -
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Kristiine 2
Kohvile 3
Viimsi JK 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 0
Narva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna 2
Rumori Calcio 4
Zenit Tallinn 3
Hiiumaa 1
Tallinna Gorillad -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Jogeva Wolves 0
Kuressaare 8
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Sillamae Silmet -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
Keila JK 11
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Legion II -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Kalju -
TBD -
Tabasalu Ulasabat 4
Flora U19 0
TransferWise 1
Tallinna Wolves 0
TBD -
Tulevik -
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Pelgu City -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Vandra Vaprus -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev 20
Vana Hea Puur 0
Drakon 0
Nomme Utd 12
TBD -
Tallinn Piraaja -
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
1/32-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2 2
Tartu Kalev 3
TBD -
Levadia -
Legion 3
Johvi Phoenix 0
Tammeka Tartu -
Imavere Forss -
Flora -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus 6
FC Alliance 1
Elva 1
Saue JK Laagri 0
Tervis Parnu 8
FCP Parnu 3
Maksatransport 5
Loo JK 1
Raplamaa 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 5
Valga Warrior 1
JK Poseidon 6
Arukula Vigri 3
Flora IV 2
Maardu Aliens -
FC Tallinn -
Kohvile 0
Viimsi JK 3
Narva -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio 3
Zenit Tallinn 8
Tallinna Gorillad 0
Tabasalu 16
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Helm 2
Parnu 0
Saku Sporting 2
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Kuressaare -
Jarva-Jaani -
Sillamae Silmet 0
Kose 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Keila JK 0
Legion II 3
Soccernet 1
Kalju 4
Tabasalu Ulasabat 0
TransferWise 0
Tulevik 3
Rumori Calcio II 0
Olympic Tallinn 3
Harju JK Laagri 12
Pelgu City 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 6
Vandra Vaprus 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Tallinna Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Eston Villa 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
1/16-finals
Tartu Kalev 2
Levadia 6
Legion 1
Tammeka Tartu 3
Flora 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Elva 5
Tervis Parnu 2
Maksatransport 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 3
JK Poseidon 2
Arukula Vigri 3
FC Tallinn 1
Viimsi JK 2
Narva 5
Zenit Tallinn 0
Tabasalu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Helm 3
Tallinna Kalev U21 7
Kuressaare 9
Kose 1
Flora Tallinn U21 13
Legion II 0
Kalju 5
Tulevik 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Harju JK Laagri 8
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Tallinna Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 11
Eston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Levadia 4
Tammeka Tartu 2
Flora 10
Elva 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 9
Arukula Vigri 1
Viimsi JK 1
Narva 0
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 0
Kuressaare 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Kalju 3
Harju JK Laagri 1
Tallinna Kalev 3
Nomme Utd 1
Quarter-finals
Levadia 2
Flora 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Viimsi JK 3
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Kuressaare 0
Kalju 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Semi-finals
Levadia 1
Viimsi JK 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kalju 1
Final
Levadia 4
Paide Linnameeskond 2
