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Stadium Background

Nasaf Qarshi vs Navbahor Namangan

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Markaziy Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Ilic V.
65'
Sub
Komilov A. In: Berdirahmonov Y.
Out: Komilov A.
73'
Abdikholikov B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Nasaf Qarshi
20%
Draws
38%
Navbahor Namangan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nasaf Qarshi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Navbahor Namangan lately — more wins on the board than Nasaf Qarshi.
  • Win probability leans Nasaf Qarshi's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 18%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nasaf Qarshi Navbahor Namangan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Navbahor Namangan
0:0
Oct 30, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:0
Jun 15, 2025 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Navbahor Namangan
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:1
Jun 30, 2024 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Navbahor Namangan
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nasaf Qarshi 41 / 100
Navbahor Namangan 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nasaf Qarshi Navbahor Namangan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nasaf Qarshi's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Navbahor Namangan let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Nasaf Qarshi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Nasaf Qarshi VS Navbahor Namangan
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona12101127:431
2Pakhtakor1283123:1327
3Navbahor Namangan1262416:1120
4Buxoro1262416:1320
5OKMK1254317:1619
6Bunyodkor1261514:1419
7Lok. Tashkent1253415:1518
8Nasaf Qarshi1245315:1217
9Andijan1251617:1316
10Termez Surkhon1243513:1915
11Din. Samarkand1242619:2214
12Xorazm Urganch123459:1513
13Qizilqum124179:1713
14Sogdiana1233621:2512
15Kokand 19121225510:1611
16Mashal Muborak1210115:213