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Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Kuwait - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 Markaziy Stadium, Qarshi
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nasaf Qarshi host Al Kuwait in the AFC Champions League 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Nasaf Qarshi at 1.39 goals for, 0.89 against; Al Kuwait at 2.33 for, 1.15 against. Head-to-head, Nasaf Qarshi have won 1 to Al Kuwait's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 27, 2024, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.50) back Al Kuwait to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Nasaf Qarshi
20%
Draws
35%
Al Kuwait
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nasaf Qarshi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nasaf Qarshi haven't matched Al Kuwait's recent run of results.
  • Nasaf Qarshi are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League 2 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 16%
Al Kuwait Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nasaf Qarshi Al Kuwait
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.39 2.33
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2024 AFC Champions League 2
Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Kuwait
1:2
Sep 18, 2024 AFC Champions League 2
Al Kuwait vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:0
Oct 29, 2011 AFC Cup
Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Kuwait
2:1
Feb 6, 2002 AFC Champions League
Al Kuwait vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nasaf Qarshi 41 / 100
Al Kuwait 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nasaf Qarshi Al Kuwait

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nasaf Qarshi has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Nasaf Qarshi's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Kuwait has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nasaf Qarshi VS Al Kuwait
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Nasaf Qarshi

(Home)
09 Oct
Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 1
Din. Samarkand
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4
Nasaf Qarshi
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2
Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6

Al Kuwait

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Naser
1 : 7
Al Kuwait
16 Sept
Al Wahda
3 : 2
Al Kuwait
05 Sept
Al Kuwait
1 : 0
Al Jahra
31 Aug
Al Qadisiya
0 : 1
Al Kuwait
25 Aug
Al Kuwait
3 : 3
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wahda 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Nasaf Qarshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Al Khalidiyah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Al Kuwait 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arkadag 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Al Jazira 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Gol Gohar 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Al Muharraq 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
2 Al Taawon 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Al Nahda 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Al Faisaly Amman 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Al Hussein 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 East Bengal 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
4 Al Seeb 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Melbourne Victory 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Viettel 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Seoul 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Lion City Sailors 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Pathum United 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Tai Po 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Shanghai Shenhua 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Tampines 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 Svay Rieng 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phnom Penh Crown 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Gangwon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Kitchee 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Kuching City FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)