Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
27'
27'
46'
46'
AI Match Summary
Nasarawa United in this NPFL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nasarawa United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nasarawa United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Bendel have won more games recently than Nasarawa United.
- Win probability leans Nasarawa United's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular NPFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Nasarawa United here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nasarawa United Clean Sheet 13%
Bendel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Bendel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 NPFL
Nasarawa United vs Bendel
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 NPFL
Nasarawa United vs Bendel
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 NPFL
Bendel vs Nasarawa United
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 NPFL
Bendel vs Nasarawa United
1:1
Nov 27, 2024 NPFL
Nasarawa United vs Bendel
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nasarawa United Compare
Top Goalscorer Samuel P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Bendel Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nasarawa United 35 / 100
Bendel 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nasarawa United Bendel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nasarawa United's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Bendel let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Nasarawa United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nasarawa United VS Bendel
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nasarawa United
(Home) 27 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0 Niger Tornadoes
23 Sept
Kwara
2 : 1 Nasarawa United
20 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 1 Rivers United
18 Sept
Rangers International
2 : 1 Nasarawa United
06 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0 Bendel
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0 Niger Tornadoes
20 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 1 Rivers United
06 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0 Bendel
17 Jun
Nasarawa United
1 : 2 Ikorodu City
11 Jun
Nasarawa United
2 : 1 Plateau United
Page 1 of 4
Bendel
(Away) 27 Sept
Abia Warriors
3 : 0 Bendel
23 Sept
Bendel
2 : 1 Ikorodu City
19 Sept
Ranchers Bees
2 : 1 Bendel
13 Sept
Bendel
4 : 2 Kun Khalifa
06 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0 Bendel
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Abia Warriors
3 : 0 Bendel
19 Sept
Ranchers Bees
2 : 1 Bendel
06 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0 Bendel
10 May
Rangers International
2 : 1 Bendel
19 Apr
Wikki Tourists
1 : 2 Bendel
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers International | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Barau | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Plateau United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 5 | Doma United | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Kano Pillars | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 7 | Ikorodu City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 8 | Bendel | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Sporting Lagos | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Abia Warriors | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 11 | Katsina Utd | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Kwara | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 13 | Ranchers Bees | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 14 | Nasarawa United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 15 | Warri Wolves | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 7 |
| 16 | Shooting | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 17 | Niger Tornadoes | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 18 | Kun Khalifa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:13 | 5 |
| 19 | Enyimba International | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
