Sport Picks
Match Events
33'
33'
Surridge S.
Assist: Baker-Whiting R.
35'
35'
Mukhtar H.
57'
57'
Elliott J.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Nashville SC and Chicago Fire finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nashville SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nashville SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nashville SC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Nashville SC's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 16%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nashville SC | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire
3:0
Apr 5, 2026 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC
1:0
Jan 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire
1:4
Jun 15, 2025 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire
7:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nashville SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Surridge S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Espinoza C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Chicago Fire Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nashville SC 84 / 100
Chicago Fire 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nashville SC Chicago Fire
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nashville SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Nashville SC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Chicago Fire let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Nashville SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nashville SC VS Chicago Fire
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nashville SC
(Home) 20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0 Chicago Fire
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 Nashville SC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1 Nashville SC
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0 Nashville SC
30 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 0 FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0 Chicago Fire
30 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 0 FC Cincinnati
23 Aug
Nashville SC
3 : 2 Columbus Crew
16 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 1 Inter Miami
10 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 1 Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 4
Chicago Fire
(Away) 20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0 Chicago Fire
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2 New England Revolution
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1 Inter Miami
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4 Chicago Fire
29 Aug
Seattle Sounders
2 : 2 Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0 Chicago Fire
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4 Chicago Fire
29 Aug
Seattle Sounders
2 : 2 Chicago Fire
26 Aug
Monterrey
2 : 1 Chicago Fire
22 Aug
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1 Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | 44 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45:36 | 44 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49:42 | 44 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | 42 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | 41 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47:48 | 32 |
| 10 | Seattle Sounders | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 30:33 | 32 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 44:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Austin FC | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:44 | 30 |
| 13 | Real Salt Lake | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 37:44 | 29 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29:63 | 18 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | 57 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 63:48 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 39 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | 36 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | 33 |
| 10 | New York City | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | 32 |
| 11 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | 29 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | 26 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | 26 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
