Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew

USA USA

MLS Geodis Park, Nashville, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Mukhtar H.
Assist: Lovitz D.
39'
Lovitz D.
49'
Ruvalcaba C.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Nashville SC and Columbus Crew finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nashville SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Nashville SC
20%
Draws
42%
Columbus Crew
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Columbus Crew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Nashville SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nashville SC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nashville SC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 20%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nashville SC Columbus Crew
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 MLS
Columbus Crew vs Nashville SC
0:1
Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew
1:0
Jul 17, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew
3:0
May 29, 2025 MLS
Columbus Crew vs Nashville SC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nashville SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukhtar H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baker-Whiting R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Columbus Crew Compare

Top Goalscorer Farsi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nashville SC 40 / 100
Columbus Crew 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nashville SC Columbus Crew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nashville SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nashville SC scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Columbus Crew has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Nashville SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nashville SC VS Columbus Crew
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nashville SC

(Home)
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0
Toronto FC
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0
Chicago Fire
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1
Nashville SC
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0
Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6

Columbus Crew

(Away)
27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Inter Miami
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Orlando City
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 26 15 5 6 59:26 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
5 Chicago Fire 26 12 6 8 46:38 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)