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Nashville SC vs Lexington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lexington in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lexington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Nashville SC
20%
Draws
48%
Lexington
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lexington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nashville SC lately — more wins on the board than Lexington.
  • Win probability leans Lexington's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 16%
Lexington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nashville SC Lexington
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.74 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Nashville SC vs Lexington
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Nashville SC vs Lexington
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nashville SC 19 / 100
Lexington 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nashville SC Lexington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lexington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nashville SC's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Lexington let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Nashville SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nashville SC VS Lexington
2 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nashville SC

(Home)
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0
Toronto FC
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0
Chicago Fire
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1
Nashville SC
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0
Nashville SC
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Lexington

(Away)
03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1
El Paso Locomotive
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3
Lexington
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0
Orange County SC
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4
Lexington
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2
Lexington
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