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Nashville SC vs Los Angeles FC

USA USA

MLS Geodis Park, Nashville, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mukhtar H.
Assist: Madrigal W.
21' Event
Mukhtar H.
22' Event
Martinez D.
Assist: Bouanga D.

AI Match Summary

Nashville SC in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nashville SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nashville SC
35%
Draws
25%
Los Angeles FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nashville SC lately — more wins on the board than Los Angeles FC.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Nashville SC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 20%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nashville SC Los Angeles FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.77 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs Los Angeles FC
3:2
Mar 24, 2024 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Nashville SC
5:0
Apr 23, 2023 MLS
Nashville SC vs Los Angeles FC
1:1
Oct 9, 2022 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Nashville SC
0:1
Jul 18, 2022 MLS
Nashville SC vs Los Angeles FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nashville SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukhtar H.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Los Angeles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouanga D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nashville SC 85 / 100
Los Angeles FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nashville SC Los Angeles FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nashville SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Nashville SC scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Los Angeles FC has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Nashville SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nashville SC VS Los Angeles FC
2 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nashville SC

(Home)
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0
Toronto FC
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0
Chicago Fire
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1
Nashville SC
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0
Nashville SC
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Los Angeles FC

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
06 Sept
Real Salt Lake
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 26 15 5 6 59:26 50
2 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
3 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
4 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
5 St. Louis City 26 12 8 6 45:36 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
9 Seattle Sounders 26 9 8 9 33:34 35
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 26 6 3 17 31:63 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
5 Chicago Fire 26 12 6 8 46:38 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 26 9 6 11 34:48 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)