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Nathalys vs Leopard

Republic of the Congo Republic of the Congo

Ligue 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ndembe A.
90' Event
Batamba M.

AI Match Summary

Leopard in this Ligue 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leopard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nathalys
35%
Draws
35%
Leopard
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Nathalys haven't matched Leopard's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nathalys's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Leopard here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Nathalys Clean Sheet 20%
Leopard Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nathalys Leopard
Matches Played 28 15
Wins 4 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.57 1
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.46 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Nathalys vs Leopard
1:2
Apr 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Nathalys vs Leopard
0:2
Dec 30, 2023 Ligue 1
Leopard vs Nathalys
2:0
Mar 19, 2023 Ligue 1
Leopard vs Nathalys
3:0
Jan 5, 2023 Ligue 1
Nathalys vs Leopard
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nathalys Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.23

Leopard Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndembe A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Batamba M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nathalys 49 / 100
Leopard 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nathalys Leopard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leopard let in goals in 60% of their last 15 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Nathalys has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Nathalys scored in 32% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Nathalys VS Leopard
0.67 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
67% Over 1.5 13%
33% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nathalys

(Home)
23 Mar
Nathalys
1 : 2
Leopard
16 Mar
Nathalys
1 : 1
Nico-Nicoye
08 Mar
Inter PN
1 : 0
Nathalys
02 Mar
Nathalys
5 : 0
CD Jeunes
22 Feb
ACJM
0 : 0
Nathalys
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Leopard

(Away)
27 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
1 : 0
Leopard
21 Sept
Leopard
0 : 0
Associacao Black Bulls
23 Mar
Nathalys
1 : 2
Leopard
15 Mar
ACJM
0 : 0
Leopard
08 Mar
Nico-Nicoye
1 : 1
Leopard
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leopard 26 15 7 4 33:14 52
2 Otoho d'Oyo 26 14 7 5 36:16 49
3 Inter Club 26 14 7 5 31:17 49
4 JS Talangai 26 12 5 9 24:25 41
5 Etoile du Congo 26 10 9 7 23:17 39
6 Diables Noirs 26 9 10 7 33:24 37
7 CARA Brazzaville 26 9 9 8 21:18 36
8 Cheminots 26 8 9 9 22:23 33
9 V.Club Mokanda 26 10 3 13 24:26 33
10 Kondzo 26 8 7 11 24:26 31
11 Juk 26 6 10 10 27:37 28
12 AS BNG 26 7 6 13 26:37 27
13 Vegas 26 5 7 14 18:37 22
14 Nathalys 26 3 8 15 10:35 17
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2023/2024 (Relegation)