Sport Picks
Natsional Sofia vs Gorna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Bulgarian Cup 
Match Events
23'
23'
Stilyan P.
34'
34'
Ivanov Z.
35'
35'
Avramov I.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gorna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gorna come out ahead of Natsional Sofia on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Gorna arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Gorna, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Natsional Sofia Clean Sheet 16%
Gorna Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Natsional Sofia | Gorna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 11 | 33 |
| Wins | 1 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.91 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Natsional Sofia vs Gorna
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Natsional Sofia Compare
Top Goalscorer Stilyan P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Gorna Compare
Top Goalscorer Ivanov Z.
2 Goals Assists Leader Avramov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Natsional Sofia 31 / 100
Gorna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Natsional Sofia Gorna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gorna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Natsional Sofia scored in 73% of their last 11 games.
Gorna let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.
Recent resilience: Natsional Sofia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Natsional Sofia VS Gorna
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Natsional Sofia
(Home) 07 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 2 Septemvri Sofia 2
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3 Gorna
26 Sept
Levski Sofia II
0 : 0 Natsional Sofia
19 Sept
Natsional Sofia
2 : 0 Slavia Sofia 2
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2 Natsional Sofia
Page 1 of 3
07 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 2 Septemvri Sofia 2
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3 Gorna
19 Sept
Natsional Sofia
2 : 0 Slavia Sofia 2
05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1 Kyustendil
22 Aug
Natsional Sofia
0 : 3 Strumska Slava
Page 1 of 2
Gorna
(Away) 04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3 Gorna
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0 Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1 Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1 Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0 Gorna
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3 Gorna
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1 Gorna
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0 Gorna
30 Aug
Montana
3 : 0 Gorna
16 Aug
Spartak Pleven
0 : 1 Gorna
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
