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Nauas EC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ditho
87' Event
Ditho

AI Match Summary

The Acreano 2024 game between Nauas EC and Sao Francisco FC (AC) finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Francisco FC (AC).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nauas EC
39%
Draws
31%
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Nauas EC haven't matched Sao Francisco FC (AC)'s recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sao Francisco FC (AC) here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Nauas EC Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nauas EC Sao Francisco FC (AC)
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.4 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.6 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.40 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.60 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 Acreano 2
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Nauas EC
1:0
Mar 26, 2024 Acreano
Nauas EC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0:2
Mar 18, 2023 Acreano
Nauas EC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
1:2
Apr 14, 2022 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Nauas EC
3:0
Jul 31, 2021 Acreano
Nauas EC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nauas EC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.31
Avg xA / game 0.2

Sao Francisco FC (AC) Compare

Top Goalscorer Ditho
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nauas EC 29 / 100
Sao Francisco FC (AC) 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nauas EC Sao Francisco FC (AC)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Francisco FC (AC) let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sao Francisco FC (AC) lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Nauas EC's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nauas EC VS Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0.4 Goals Scored 1.88
3.6 Goals Conceded 0.75
60% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 63%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nauas EC

(Home)
13 Sept
Santa Cruz AC
8 : 0
Nauas EC
06 Sept
Nauas EC
1 : 4
Atletico Acreano
28 Aug
Nauas EC
1 : 4
Andira
21 Aug
Placido de Castro
1 : 0
Nauas EC
12 Aug
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
1 : 0
Nauas EC
Page 1 of 6

Sao Francisco FC (AC)

(Away)
05 Mar
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
2 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
24 Feb
SC Humaita
7 : 0
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
12 Feb
Santa Cruz AC
5 : 0
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
05 Feb
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 2
Senador Guiomard
29 Jan
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 6
Rio Branco AC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rio Branco AC53209:311
2Vasco da Gama AC530212:69
3Independencia Futebol Clube52307:49
4Senador Guiomard51314:36
5Acreano51131:94
6Andira50142:101
Promotion - Acreano 2024 (Second stage)
Relegation - Acreano 2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Acreano 2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Humaita440011:112
2Sao Francisco FC (AC)42115:37
3Galvez41214:75
4Placido de Castro41033:53
5Nauas EC40132:91
Promotion - Acreano 2024 (Second stage)
Relegation - Acreano 2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Acreano 2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)