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Nautico FC vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Matheus L.
17' Event
Diego Chapa
38' Event
Romario

AI Match Summary

Gremio Atletico Sampaio in this Roraimense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Atletico Sampaio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nautico FC
20%
Draws
40%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Nautico FC haven't matched Gremio Atletico Sampaio's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gremio Atletico Sampaio a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Roraimense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gremio Atletico Sampaio here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nautico FC Clean Sheet 10%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico FC Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Matches Played 33 40
Wins 9 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.42 1.98
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Nautico FC
4:1
Mar 22, 2025 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1:6
Apr 27, 2024 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Nautico FC
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nautico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare

Top Goalscorer Barreto Queiroz R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Diego Chapa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico FC 22 / 100
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico FC Gremio Atletico Sampaio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Atletico Sampaio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Nautico FC scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio has conceded goals in 75% of their last 40 outings.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nautico FC VS Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico FC

(Home)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
15 Mar
River Esporte Clube
5 : 0
Nautico FC
08 Mar
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
4 : 1
Nautico FC
05 Mar
Nautico FC
0 : 1
Monte Roraima
24 Feb
Atl. Roraima
0 : 0
Nautico FC
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Gremio Atletico Sampaio

(Away)
14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1
Manaus FC
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
23 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
16 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 3
Monte Roraima
10 May
Manauara
0 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 7 5 1 1 23:5 16
2 Bare 7 5 1 1 19:3 16
3 Monte Roraima 7 4 2 1 12:4 14
4 Sao Raimundo RR 7 4 1 2 15:7 13
5 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
6 Nautico FC 7 1 1 5 9:22 4
7 Atl. Roraima 7 0 3 4 3:20 3
8 Progresso 7 0 2 5 1:19 2
Promotion - Roraimense 2025 (Play Offs)