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Nautico MS vs Aquidauanense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2023
Sun, Mar 12, 2023
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nautico MS host Aquidauanense in the Sul-Matogrossense 2023. Aquidauanense go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Nautico MS at 0.75 goals for, 2.63 against; Aquidauanense at 1.34 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Nautico MS slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 12, 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.60 - 1.43) back Aquidauanense to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Nautico MS
15%
Draws
85%
Aquidauanense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aquidauanense have won more games recently than Nautico MS.
  • Aquidauanense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nautico MS Clean Sheet 17%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico MS Aquidauanense
Matches Played 8 35
Wins 0 16
Draws 0 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 0.75 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Nautico MS vs Aquidauanense
0:0
Feb 12, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Nautico MS
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico MS 10 / 100
Aquidauanense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico MS Aquidauanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquidauanense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aquidauanense has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Nautico MS scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aquidauanense
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico MS

(Home)
03 Mar
Nautico MS
1 : 3
Coxim
29 Feb
Nautico MS
3 : 4
Pantanal
17 Feb
Costa Rica
2 : 0
Nautico MS
14 Feb
Operario MS
2 : 0
Nautico MS
04 Feb
Coxim
3 : 1
Nautico MS
Page 1 of 2

Aquidauanense

(Away)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
26 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Aquidauanense
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 8 6 1 1 15:6 19
2 Operario MS 8 5 0 3 13:8 15
3 Chapadao 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Coxim 8 2 2 4 4:11 8
5 Comercial MS 8 0 2 6 4:12 2
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 6 1 1 11:5 19
2 Ivinhema 8 3 2 3 14:9 11
3 Novoperario 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
4 Aquidauanense 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Operario AC 8 1 2 5 9:15 5
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)