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Nautico MS vs Pantanal Prediction & H2H Stats

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Sul-Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Felipe Pacheco
41' Event
Raylan
Penalty Missed
41' Event
Raylan

AI Match Summary

Pantanal in this Sul-Matogrossense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pantanal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Nautico MS
20%
Draws
80%
Pantanal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pantanal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pantanal lately — more wins on the board than Nautico MS.
  • Win probability leans Pantanal's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Nautico MS Clean Sheet 15%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico MS Pantanal
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 0 11
Draws 0 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 29, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Nautico MS vs Pantanal
3:4
Jan 25, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Nautico MS
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nautico MS Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Verissimo L. C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Pacheco
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Pantanal Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu
2 Goals
Assists Leader Raylan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico MS 23 / 100
Pantanal 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico MS Pantanal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pantanal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Pantanal conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Pantanal's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Nautico MS scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pantanal
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico MS

(Home)
03 Mar
Nautico MS
1 : 3
Coxim
29 Feb
Nautico MS
3 : 4
Pantanal
17 Feb
Costa Rica
2 : 0
Nautico MS
14 Feb
Operario MS
2 : 0
Nautico MS
04 Feb
Coxim
3 : 1
Nautico MS
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Pantanal

(Away)
01 Mar
Pantanal
2 : 2
Ivinhema
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
18 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Pantanal
11 Feb
Bataguassu
1 : 1
Pantanal
07 Feb
Pantanal
2 : 3
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario MS 8 6 2 0 14:3 20
2 Coxim 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
3 Pantanal 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Costa Rica 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
5 Nautico MS 8 0 0 8 6:21 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
2 Aquidauanense 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
3 Corumbaense 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
4 Ivinhema 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
5 Novoperario 8 1 3 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)