Sport Picks
Nautico vs Athletic Club Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Eladio de Barros Carvalho (Aflitos), Recife 
Match Events
6'
6'
Vera D.
Assist: Max
44'
44'
Derek
46'
46'
Sub
Ryan Carlos In: Betao
Out: Ryan Carlos
AI Match Summary
Nautico in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nautico.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Nautico have won more games recently than Athletic Club.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Nautico have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Nautico Clean Sheet 68%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nautico | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Serie B
Nautico vs Athletic Club
2:1
Apr 27, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Nautico
0:1
Jul 21, 2024 Serie C
Nautico vs Athletic Club
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nautico Compare
Top Goalscorer Derek
1 Goals Assists Leader Luiz Claudio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Athletic Club Compare
Top Goalscorer Vera D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nautico 41 / 100
Athletic Club 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nautico Athletic Club
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nautico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nautico's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Athletic Club let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Nautico went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nautico VS Athletic Club
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nautico
(Home) 03 Oct
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Nautico
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1 Sport Recife
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Nautico
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3 Operario-PR
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1 Nautico
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1 Sport Recife
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3 Operario-PR
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0 Botafogo SP
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1 Athletic Club
19 Aug
Nautico
1 : 0 Ceara
Page 1 of 3
Athletic Club
(Away) 01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Athletic Club
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1 Athletic Club
16 Aug
America MG
1 : 3 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 35:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 43:31 | 54 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52:27 | 54 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 53 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:27 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 37:27 | 49 |
| 7 | CRB | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 46:44 | 48 |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43:41 | 48 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:33 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Bernardo | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:32 | 45 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 30:25 | 43 |
| 12 | Goias | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 30:39 | 42 |
| 13 | Nautico | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:38 | 42 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 37:35 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceara | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33:39 | 36 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34:36 | 35 |
| 17 | Avai | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 39:45 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21:50 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 17:64 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
