Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nautico vs Flamengo Arcoverde

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Pernambucano 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Krobel A.
18' Event
Pedro Maycon
(Penalty)
32' Event
Joao Victor
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Nautico in this Campeonato Pernambucano 2019 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nautico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nautico
6%
Draws
4%
Flamengo Arcoverde
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nautico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nautico average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Flamengo Arcoverde's 0.
  • Win probability leans Nautico's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Nautico here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Nautico Clean Sheet 68%
Flamengo Arcoverde Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico Flamengo Arcoverde
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 4 1
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Pernambucano
Nautico vs Flamengo Arcoverde
2:0
Feb 16, 2019 Pernambucano
Nautico vs Flamengo Arcoverde
4:2
Feb 26, 2018 Pernambucano
Nautico vs Flamengo Arcoverde
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nautico Compare

Top Goalscorer Krobel A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thiaguinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Flamengo Arcoverde Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Maycon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico 95 / 100
Flamengo Arcoverde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico Flamengo Arcoverde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nautico found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Flamengo Arcoverde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Flamengo Arcoverde's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nautico VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico

(Home)
23 Jul
Nautico
2 : 1
Londrina
16 Jul
CRB
2 : 1
Nautico
12 Jul
Avai
2 : 0
Nautico
05 Jul
Nautico
0 : 0
EC Juventude
28 Jun
Nautico
0 : 1
Goias
Page 1 of 6

Flamengo Arcoverde

(Away)
24 Feb
Flamengo Arcoverde
0 : 4
Retro
18 Feb
Maguary
6 : 2
Flamengo Arcoverde
08 Feb
Flamengo Arcoverde
2 : 3
Afogados da Ingazeira
02 Feb
Flamengo Arcoverde
0 : 3
Sport Recife
28 Jan
Petrolina
1 : 1
Flamengo Arcoverde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sport Recife970221:721
2Nautico961218:819
3Santa Cruz952212:817
4Salgueiro951321:1516
5Central SC951312:916
6Afogados da Ingazeira933313:1712
7Academica Vitoria92348:149
8Petrolina92255:138
9America PE90183:161
10Flamengo Arcoverde922513:19-5
Promotion - Campeonato Pernambucano 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Pernambucano 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Pernambucano 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Pernambucano 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Pernambucano 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Pernambucano 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Pernambucano 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Pernambucano 2019 (Play Offs)