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Nautico vs Novorizontino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Eladio de Barros Carvalho (Aflitos), Recife
Thu, Oct 8, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nautico host Novorizontino in the Serie B. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Nautico at 1.28 goals for, 1.24 against; Novorizontino at 1.73 for, 0.97 against. Head-to-head, Nautico have won 1 to Novorizontino's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.75, favoring Novorizontino. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Nautico
35%
Draws
40%
Novorizontino
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Novorizontino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Novorizontino have won more games recently than Nautico.
  • Novorizontino are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nautico Clean Sheet 12%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico Novorizontino
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.28 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Nautico
2:2
Oct 15, 2022 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Nautico
6:0
Jul 2, 2022 Serie B
Nautico vs Novorizontino
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico 27 / 100
Novorizontino 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico Novorizontino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Nautico found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Novorizontino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Nautico has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nautico VS Novorizontino
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico

(Home)
03 Oct
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Nautico
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1
Sport Recife
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Nautico
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1
Nautico
Page 1 of 6

Novorizontino

(Away)
02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0
Goias
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0
Sao Bernardo
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 31 17 6 8 44:31 57
2 EC Juventude 31 16 8 7 35:19 56
3 Novorizontino 31 15 9 7 52:27 54
4 Criciuma 31 15 8 8 33:27 53
5 Fortaleza 31 14 11 6 36:27 53
6 Atletico GO 31 14 10 7 39:27 52
7 CRB 31 14 6 11 46:44 48
8 Operario-PR 31 13 9 9 43:41 48
9 Sport Recife 31 12 11 8 42:33 47
10 Cuiaba 31 11 13 7 32:25 46
11 Sao Bernardo 31 12 9 10 43:32 45
12 Goias 31 12 6 13 30:39 42
13 Nautico 31 11 9 11 39:38 42
14 Athletic Club 31 10 12 9 37:35 42
15 Ceara 31 10 9 12 34:39 39
16 Botafogo SP 31 9 8 14 34:37 35
17 Avai 31 8 6 17 30:42 30
18 Londrina 31 7 7 17 39:45 28
19 America MG 31 4 5 22 21:52 17
20 Ponte Preta 31 3 4 24 17:66 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)