Sport Picks

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Nautico vs Petrolina

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2025 Estadio Eladio de Barros Carvalho (Aflitos), Recife
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Nildo Petrolina In: Juan Cassio
Out: Nildo Petrolina
24' Event
Yonder Vargas
25'
Sub
Renato Alves In: Geovane
Out: Renato Alves

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pernambucano 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Nautico
30%
Draws
8%
Petrolina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nautico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Petrolina haven't matched Nautico's recent run of results.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Nautico taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nautico have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Nautico Clean Sheet 68%
Petrolina Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico Petrolina
Matches Played 46 44
Wins 22 14
Draws 11 13
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.43 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Pernambucano
Nautico vs Petrolina
1:1
Feb 1, 2024 Pernambucano
Nautico vs Petrolina
1:0
Apr 1, 2023 Pernambucano
Nautico vs Petrolina
1:0
Jan 26, 2020 Pernambucano
Petrolina vs Nautico
0:1
Jan 30, 2019 Pernambucano
Nautico vs Petrolina
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nautico Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan Maranhao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Petrolina Compare

Top Goalscorer Yonder Vargas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico 95 / 100
Petrolina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico Petrolina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nautico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nautico found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (46 games).

Defensive concern: Petrolina conceded in 73% of 44 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Nautico went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nautico VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico

(Home)
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1
Nautico
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1
Athletic Club
23 Aug
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1
Nautico
Page 1 of 10

Petrolina

(Away)
22 Feb
Petrolina
1 : 3
Sport Recife
17 Feb
Jaguar
2 : 1
Petrolina
09 Feb
Petrolina
0 : 1
Retro
02 Feb
Petrolina
0 : 0
Central SC
30 Jan
Decisao
3 : 0
Petrolina
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Maguary 9 5 2 2 13:10 17
3 Nautico 9 5 1 3 15:9 16
4 Sport Recife 9 4 3 2 17:8 15
5 Decisao 9 3 4 2 11:12 13
6 Retro 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
7 Jaguar 9 3 2 4 10:16 11
8 Central SC 9 2 3 4 8:9 9
9 Afogados da Ingazeira 9 0 5 4 5:13 5
10 Petrolina 9 0 3 6 4:14 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pernambucano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Pernambucano (Main)