Sport Picks
Navad Urmia vs Mes Kerman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iran
Azadegan League 2025/2026 
Match Events
33'
33'
Namdari V.
(Penalty)
34'
34'
Aghayari T.
AI Match Summary
The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Navad Urmia and Mes Kerman finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
30%
70%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mes Kerman
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Mes Kerman carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Mes Kerman a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 11%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Mes Kerman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 15 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.47 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 0.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.32 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 16, 2026 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Navad Urmia
3:0
Dec 26, 2025 Azadegan League
Navad Urmia vs Mes Kerman
1:1
Apr 26, 2021 Azadegan League
Navad Urmia vs Mes Kerman
0:0
Dec 16, 2020 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Navad Urmia
1:0
Jul 12, 2020 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Navad Urmia
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Navad Urmia Compare
Top Goalscorer Aghayari T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.16
Mes Kerman Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Navad Urmia 10 / 100
Mes Kerman 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Navad Urmia Mes Kerman
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mes Kerman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Navad Urmia found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).
Mes Kerman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Mes Kerman lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Navad Urmia VS Mes Kerman
0.13 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Navad Urmia
(Home) 16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0 Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2 Saipa
03 Jul
Navad Urmia
1 : 4 Sanat Naft
27 Jun
Pars Janoobi Jam
2 : 0 Navad Urmia
21 Jun
Navad Urmia
0 : 2 Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2 Saipa
03 Jul
Navad Urmia
1 : 4 Sanat Naft
21 Jun
Navad Urmia
0 : 2 Naft Bandar Abbas
09 Jun
Navad Urmia
0 : 6 Fard
27 May
Navad Urmia
0 : 0 Ario Eslamshahr
Page 1 of 3
Mes Kerman
(Away) 05 Oct
Niroye Zamini
0 : 0 Mes Kerman
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1 Saipa
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0 Navad Urmia
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Niroye Zamini
0 : 0 Mes Kerman
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
11 Jul
Sanat Naft
1 : 0 Mes Kerman
27 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
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