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Navad Urmia vs Saipa

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Eslami K.
90' Event
Anafjeh A.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Navad Urmia and Saipa finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saipa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Navad Urmia
6%
Draws
90%
Saipa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Saipa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saipa come out ahead of Navad Urmia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Saipa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 16%
Saipa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navad Urmia Saipa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Azadegan League
Navad Urmia vs Saipa
0:2
Jan 3, 2026 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Navad Urmia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navad Urmia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Saipa Compare

Top Goalscorer Eslami K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anafjeh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navad Urmia 10 / 100
Saipa 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navad Urmia Saipa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Navad Urmia's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Saipa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 40% of 30 matches.

Navad Urmia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Navad Urmia VS Saipa
0.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Navad Urmia

(Home)
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Saipa
03 Jul
Navad Urmia
1 : 4
Sanat Naft
27 Jun
Pars Janoobi Jam
2 : 0
Navad Urmia
21 Jun
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Naft Bandar Abbas
16 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
0 : 0
Navad Urmia
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Saipa

(Away)
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Saipa
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
27 Jun
Fard
2 : 1
Saipa
21 Jun
Saipa
1 : 0
Ario Eslamshahr
15 Jun
Pars Janoobi Jam
0 : 0
Saipa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2026/2027 (Main)
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