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Navad Urmia vs Sanat Naft

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Rezaei R.
30' Event
Shaverdi H.
34' Event
Rikani T.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Navad Urmia and Sanat Naft finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanat Naft.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Navad Urmia
20%
Draws
80%
Sanat Naft
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanat Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sanat Naft carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sanat Naft are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 10%
Sanat Naft Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navad Urmia Sanat Naft
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 13
Draws 10 10
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.47 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.34 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Azadegan League
Navad Urmia vs Sanat Naft
1:4
Dec 12, 2025 Azadegan League
Sanat Naft vs Navad Urmia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navad Urmia Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaverdi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.26
Avg xA / game 0.17

Sanat Naft Compare

Top Goalscorer Rezaei R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rikani T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navad Urmia 22 / 100
Sanat Naft 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navad Urmia Sanat Naft

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanat Naft Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Sanat Naft registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Navad Urmia scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sanat Naft conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Navad Urmia VS Sanat Naft
0.17 Goals Scored 1.75
2.17 Goals Conceded 0.5
83% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Navad Urmia

(Home)
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Saipa
03 Jul
Navad Urmia
1 : 4
Sanat Naft
27 Jun
Pars Janoobi Jam
2 : 0
Navad Urmia
21 Jun
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Naft Bandar Abbas
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Sanat Naft

(Away)
12 Sept
Sanat Naft
1 : 2
Chadormalu
06 Sept
Paykan
2 : 0
Sanat Naft
02 Sept
Sanat Naft
0 : 0
Sepahan
29 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Sanat Naft
24 Aug
Sanat Naft
0 : 3
Foolad
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)