Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Navad Urmia vs Sanat Naft

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Rezaei R.
30' Event
Shaverdi H.
34' Event
Rikani T.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Navad Urmia and Sanat Naft finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanat Naft.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Navad Urmia
6%
Draws
90%
Sanat Naft
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sanat Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sanat Naft carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sanat Naft are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 14%
Sanat Naft Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navad Urmia Sanat Naft
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 16
Draws 10 8
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.13 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Azadegan League
Navad Urmia vs Sanat Naft
1:4
Dec 12, 2025 Azadegan League
Sanat Naft vs Navad Urmia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navad Urmia Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaverdi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Sanat Naft Compare

Top Goalscorer Rezaei R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rikani T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navad Urmia 10 / 100
Sanat Naft 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navad Urmia Sanat Naft

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Navad Urmia scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Sanat Naft let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Navad Urmia VS Sanat Naft
0.13 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Navad Urmia

(Home)
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Saipa
03 Jul
Navad Urmia
1 : 4
Sanat Naft
27 Jun
Pars Janoobi Jam
2 : 0
Navad Urmia
21 Jun
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6

Sanat Naft

(Away)
16 Jul
Niroye Zamini
0 : 2
Sanat Naft
11 Jul
Sanat Naft
1 : 0
Mes Kerman
03 Jul
Navad Urmia
1 : 4
Sanat Naft
27 Jun
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0
Sanat Naft
21 Jun
Sanat Naft
1 : 1
Shahrdari Noshahr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League (Relegation)