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Naval 1893 vs Samora Correia

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026
Naval 1893 Logo

Naval 1893

2 - 1
FT
Samora Correia Logo

Samora Correia

Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Santos M. L.
17' Event
Chula F. D. C.
31' Event
Didi
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Naval 1893 in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naval 1893.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Naval 1893
15%
Draws
49%
Samora Correia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samora Correia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Samora Correia haven't matched Naval 1893's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Naval 1893 Clean Sheet 17%
Samora Correia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naval 1893 Samora Correia
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.34 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Naval 1893 vs Samora Correia
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Samora Correia vs Naval 1893
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naval 1893 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chula F. D. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nuno Andre
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.67

Samora Correia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naval 1893 31 / 100
Samora Correia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naval 1893 Samora Correia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samora Correia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Naval 1893 scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Naval 1893 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naval 1893 VS Samora Correia
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 71%
0% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Naval 1893

(Home)
19 Sept
Naval 1893
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0
Alverca B
06 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
Naval 1893
30 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 3
Naval 1893
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4
Naval 1893
Page 1 of 7

Samora Correia

(Away)
18 Apr
Samora Correia
4 : 2
Uniao Da Serra
12 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 2
Samora Correia
04 Apr
Samora Correia
2 : 1
Electrico FC
29 Mar
Samora Correia
5 : 2
GD Peniche
21 Mar
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Samora Correia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 26 16 7 3 33:12 55
2 Oliveira Hospital 26 14 8 4 39:13 50
3 Naval 1893 26 14 6 6 36:23 48
4 SB Castelo Branco 26 14 4 8 43:26 46
5 Uniao Da Serra 26 12 8 6 38:27 44
6 Mortagua FC 26 11 6 9 23:26 39
7 Os Marialvas 26 10 6 10 33:28 36
8 Fatima 26 8 8 10 27:29 32
9 Lajense 26 8 8 10 37:37 32
10 GD Peniche 26 8 6 12 34:43 30
11 Samora Correia 26 8 5 13 27:35 29
12 Marinhense 26 5 9 12 20:38 24
13 Electrico FC 26 5 4 17 33:62 19
14 SC Lusitania 26 4 5 17 24:48 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)