Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naval 1893 vs Uniao Da Serra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Duarte D.
11' Event
Costa W.
37' Event
Costa P.

AI Match Summary

Uniao Da Serra in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Da Serra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Naval 1893
20%
Draws
44%
Uniao Da Serra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uniao Da Serra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naval 1893 lately — more wins on the board than Uniao Da Serra.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Uniao Da Serra here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Naval 1893 Clean Sheet 16%
Uniao Da Serra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naval 1893 Uniao Da Serra
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.37 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Naval 1893 vs Uniao Da Serra
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao Da Serra vs Naval 1893
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Naval 1893 vs Uniao Da Serra
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naval 1893 Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Uniao Da Serra Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Costa W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naval 1893 31 / 100
Uniao Da Serra 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naval 1893 Uniao Da Serra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Da Serra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Naval 1893 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Uniao Da Serra conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Naval 1893 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Naval 1893 VS Uniao Da Serra
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naval 1893

(Home)
19 Sept
Naval 1893
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0
Alverca B
06 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
Naval 1893
30 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 3
Naval 1893
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4
Naval 1893
Page 1 of 6

Uniao Da Serra

(Away)
20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4
Uniao Da Serra
13 Sept
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1
Mortagua FC
06 Sept
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
30 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
5 : 0
Uniao de Pombal
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
Alverca B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mortagua FC 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 O Elvas CAD 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
3 Oliveira Hospital 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Os Marialvas 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
5 Uniao Da Serra 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
6 Naval 1893 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
7 Nogueirense 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
8 SB Castelo Branco 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
9 Fatima 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
10 Malveira 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
11 Alverca B 4 1 0 3 6:4 3
12 Sertanense 4 0 2 2 3:7 2
13 Fazendense 4 0 1 3 5:12 1
14 GD Os Nazarenos 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)