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Naval Reinosa vs CD Colindres

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Naval Reinosa Logo

Naval Reinosa

1 - 2
FT
CD Colindres Logo

CD Colindres

Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Lorenzo N.
(Penalty)
53' Event
Cobo R.
56' Event
Carral D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between Naval Reinosa and CD Colindres finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Colindres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Naval Reinosa
20%
Draws
29%
CD Colindres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naval Reinosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Colindres come out ahead of Naval Reinosa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Naval Reinosa a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Naval Reinosa Clean Sheet 68%
CD Colindres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naval Reinosa CD Colindres
Matches Played 29 39
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.21 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs CD Colindres
1:2
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs Naval Reinosa
3:1
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs Naval Reinosa
2:2
Jan 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs CD Colindres
3:1
Feb 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs Naval Reinosa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naval Reinosa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

CD Colindres Compare

Top Goalscorer Cobo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carral D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naval Reinosa 68 / 100
CD Colindres 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naval Reinosa CD Colindres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naval Reinosa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Naval Reinosa scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

CD Colindres's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 39 matches.

Solid form: Naval Reinosa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Naval Reinosa VS CD Colindres
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Naval Reinosa

(Home)
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
10 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Naval Reinosa
04 May
Naval Reinosa
2 : 0
Bezana
26 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 4
Naval Reinosa
18 Apr
Naval Reinosa
1 : 2
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 6

CD Colindres

(Away)
09 May
CD Laredo
2 : 1
CD Colindres
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0
CD Colindres
19 Apr
CD Colindres
3 : 0
CD Barquereno
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)