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Naval Reinosa vs UD Samano

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Villasana A.
39' Event
Berzosa A.

AI Match Summary

UD Samano in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Samano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Naval Reinosa
20%
Draws
64%
UD Samano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Samano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • UD Samano haven't matched Naval Reinosa's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on UD Samano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Naval Reinosa Clean Sheet 17%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naval Reinosa UD Samano
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.89 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs UD Samano
0:2
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Naval Reinosa
1:1
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Naval Reinosa
0:1
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs UD Samano
1:0
Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs UD Samano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naval Reinosa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

UD Samano Compare

Top Goalscorer Villasana A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berzosa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naval Reinosa 20 / 100
UD Samano 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naval Reinosa UD Samano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Samano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Samano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 34 matches.

Attacking prowess: Naval Reinosa scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

UD Samano's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Naval Reinosa VS UD Samano
0.4 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 3.38
60% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 100%
40% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Naval Reinosa

(Home)
26 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 4
CD Laredo
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3
Torina
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
10 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Naval Reinosa
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UD Samano

(Away)
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1
Guarnizo
13 Sept
Vimenor
2 : 1
UD Samano
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5
Bergantinos
26 Apr
Marino De Luanco
4 : 1
UD Samano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)