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Navalcarnero vs Atl. Madrid C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Navalcarnero host Atl. Madrid C in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Atl. Madrid C have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Navalcarnero have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, Navalcarnero have won 2 to Atl. Madrid C's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 17, 2015, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.06, favoring Atl. Madrid C. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Navalcarnero
15%
Draws
46%
Atl. Madrid C
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atl. Madrid C come out ahead of Navalcarnero on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Navalcarnero's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 20%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navalcarnero Atl. Madrid C
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.48 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Navalcarnero
0:2
Jan 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Navalcarnero vs Atl. Madrid C
2:3
Feb 19, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Navalcarnero vs Atl. Madrid C
0:2
Oct 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Navalcarnero
3:2
Apr 17, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Navalcarnero vs Atl. Madrid C
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navalcarnero 49 / 100
Atl. Madrid C 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navalcarnero Atl. Madrid C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navalcarnero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid C let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Navalcarnero scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Navalcarnero has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Navalcarnero VS Atl. Madrid C
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Navalcarnero

(Home)
04 Oct
RSD Alcala
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1
Murcia
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3
Conquense
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4
Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

Atl. Madrid C

(Away)
04 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 2
Conquense
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0
Real Madrid C
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 5 4 0 1 8:5 12
2 Numancia 5 3 2 0 5:0 11
3 San Sebastian Reyes 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
4 Conquense 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
5 Valladolid Promesas 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
6 Salamanca CF UDS 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
7 CF Talavera 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 5 2 1 2 11:10 7
9 Navalcarnero 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 RSD Alcala 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
11 Real Avila 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
12 Atletico Paso 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
13 Albacete B 5 1 2 2 7:15 5
14 Guadalajara 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
15 Atletico Tordesillas 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
16 Puertollano C.F. 5 1 1 3 2:8 4
17 Getafe B 5 0 3 2 3:5 3
18 Real Madrid C 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)