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Navalcarnero vs Atletico Paso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Navalcarnero host Atletico Paso in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Navalcarnero at 1.57 goals for, 1.39 against; Atletico Paso at 1.25 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Navalcarnero slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 30, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.50 - 0.81) back Atletico Paso to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Navalcarnero
30%
Draws
29%
Atletico Paso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Navalcarnero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Paso have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Navalcarnero are scoring more at 1.57.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Navalcarnero taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navalcarnero Atletico Paso
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 12
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.57 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Navalcarnero vs Atletico Paso
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Atletico Paso vs Navalcarnero
1:1
Feb 11, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Navalcarnero vs Atletico Paso
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Atletico Paso vs Navalcarnero
0:0
May 14, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Navalcarnero vs Atletico Paso
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navalcarnero 58 / 100
Atletico Paso 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navalcarnero Atletico Paso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navalcarnero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navalcarnero found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Navalcarnero has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Atletico Paso let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Navalcarnero VS Atletico Paso
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Navalcarnero

(Home)
14 Oct
Recreativo Huelva
3 : 2
Navalcarnero
11 Oct
Navalcarnero
1 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
04 Oct
RSD Alcala
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1
Murcia
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3
Conquense
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Paso

(Away)
11 Oct
CF Talavera
2 : 1
Atletico Paso
03 Oct
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Real Madrid C
27 Sept
Albacete B
2 : 2
Atletico Paso
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 7 4 2 1 10:7 14
2 Conquense 6 4 1 1 14:7 13
3 Numancia 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
4 Salamanca CF UDS 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 CF Talavera 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
6 Valladolid Promesas 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
7 San Sebastian Reyes 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 7 2 3 2 13:12 9
9 Guadalajara 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
10 Navalcarnero 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 RSD Alcala 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 Real Avila 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
13 Atletico Tordesillas 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
14 Atletico Paso 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
15 Puertollano C.F. 6 1 2 3 2:8 5
16 Albacete B 6 1 2 3 7:19 5
17 Real Madrid C 6 0 4 2 1:4 4
18 Getafe B 6 0 3 3 4:9 3
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)